Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227037           2          31          53          14           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000810847          11          43          40           6           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   3.39000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            27.75       39.00       27.50        5.75        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1