Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227089           2          32          53          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000811656          11          43          39           7           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   4.05000e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            29.75       39.25       25.75        5.25        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2