Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226753           2          35          48          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000805843          11          45          40           4           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            25.75       41.75       27.00        5.50        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6