Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226332           4          36          46          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797353          15          47          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.18000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            29.25       41.25       24.00        5.50        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4