Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226312           4          36          46          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792016          14          46          35           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.89000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            32.25       39.75       23.00        5.00        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3