Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226235           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792826          14          45          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   5.99000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            29.00       40.50       25.00        5.50        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)