Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226240           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792577          14          46          35           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.25000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            23.75       45.50       25.00        5.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)