Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226156           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791754          14          47          34           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   8.44000e-08           6          62          29           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            10.50       52.25       31.50        5.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3