Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226195           4          36          46          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792903          14          45          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.91000e-08           8          69          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.25       47.50       27.75        5.50        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1