Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225900           5          37          47          11           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000786000          13          48          34           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.00000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.50       48.50       26.75        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)