Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225459           6          46          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000774148          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.59000e-08          32          61           7           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.00       48.00       22.50        3.50        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)