Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225750           5          42          44           9           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000783728          12          47          34           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.95000e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.00       49.25       27.00        4.75        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0