Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226500           3          38          45          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794511          13          46          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.38000e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.50       47.00       29.50        5.00        0.00     B6.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1