Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226403           4          33          48          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796003          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   9.99000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.75       45.25       30.00        6.00        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.8