Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227121           2          32          53          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812923          11          44          38           7           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   1.31000e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                             8.75       50.25       35.00        6.00        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4