Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226477           4          37          45          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802831          12          46          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   9.56000e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             9.75       51.75       32.00        6.50        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2