Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226294           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800539          14          46          35           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   9.96000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            10.50       51.00       32.00        6.50        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)