Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226163           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796852          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   9.12000e-08           4          65          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                             9.50       53.50       30.75        6.25        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5