Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226278           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800282          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   9.00000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            10.25       52.75       30.75        6.25        0.00     B6.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)