Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226072           4          35          48          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796228          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   8.50000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.50       46.50       29.75        5.25        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4