Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226082           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792842          14          45          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   8.24000e-08           6          66          25           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.50       47.00       29.25        5.25        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)