Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225770           5          42          44           9           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000784546          12          49          33           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.42000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       49.75       26.25        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)