Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225641           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000786179          13          48          34           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.46000e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       49.75       26.00        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)