Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225816           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793583          14          46          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.67000e-08          10          67          20           3           0        B3.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       48.00       27.75        4.25        0.00     B4.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)