Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225906           5          37          47          11           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795446          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   7.25000e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       48.50       26.75        4.50        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)