Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225870           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794698          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.54000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       48.50       27.50        4.00        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)