Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225864           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794519          13          46          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.25000e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       48.75       27.25        4.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)