Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225807           5          40          45          10           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791238          14          48          33           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.73000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.25       49.00       25.75        4.00        0.00     B4.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)