Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225810           5          39          46          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790955          13          50          32           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   7.36000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       49.25       26.50        4.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)