Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225388           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000774319          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.72000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       49.00       25.50        3.75        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)