Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225459           6          46          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000776502          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.40000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       50.25       25.50        4.00        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)