Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225665           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000786204          13          48          34           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.01000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.50       50.00       25.75        3.75        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)