Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225682           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000784984          12          49          33           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.48000e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       49.75       26.25        4.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5