Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225629           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000784453          12          48          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   6.91000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.50       50.25       25.00        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)