Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225483           6          45          41           8           0        B9.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000780224          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            21.50       50.50       24.00        4.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)