Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225438           5          45          43           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781108          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.54000e-08          18          67          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       49.75       24.75        3.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)