Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225444           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781749          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.69000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.25       50.25       24.75        3.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)