Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225467           6          46          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000783470          12          47          34           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.64000e-08          10          68          20           2           0        B3.3
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       50.25       26.00        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)