Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225341           6          42          45           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000777476          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       49.25       25.25        3.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)