Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225362           6          42          45           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000778606          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.84000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            17.25       51.50       27.00        4.25        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)