Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225109           6          42          46           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000778476          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.04000e-08          24          61          14           1           0        B2.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.50       48.00       25.00        3.50        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)