Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224977           6          45          44           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000779493          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.11000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.75       50.50       25.50        3.25        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)