Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225145           6          43          45           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000782715          12          46          35           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.93000e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.25       49.25       27.50        4.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)