Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225256           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787069          12          47          36           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.77000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.50       49.50       27.25        3.75        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)