Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225350           6          42          45           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787768          13          47          35           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   7.39000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       49.25       27.00        3.50        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1