Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225484           6          45          41           8           0        B9.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790403          13          49          32           6           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   7.86000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       50.50       25.50        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)