Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225526           6          44          42           8           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790402          13          49          32           6           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   8.26000e-08           6          66          25           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.00       49.75       27.00        4.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)