Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225486           6          45          41           8           0        B9.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789114          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.32000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.00       48.75       28.25        4.00        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)