Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225522           6          44          42           8           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790813          13          50          32           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   7.67000e-08          10          67          20           3           0        B3.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       50.25       25.75        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)