Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225582           6          43          42           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794799          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.30000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.00       48.25       28.50        4.25        0.00     B4.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)